First, on this blog I've covered many things worldwide. Iraq and Afghanistan have been missing from many of my posts. This is because rarely do they play into the future alliances or local politics that my blog covers. This is because I believe we have essentially won Iraq and Afghanistan needed Pakistan to take the road against the militants.
So today Mehsud, the leader of the Taliban, may be dead. If this is true the Taliban are going to fracture into various groups. While still a threat and a military problem the coordination, message, and unified front the Taliban has made under Mehsud will be over. They will fight each other as well as the Afghan, Pakistani, and Coalition forces. Is the fight over? No. Are they a major threat? Yes. Will they grow in strength and power as a whole now? No. The tide has turned with Pakistan's offensive. The death of Mehsud only confirms their coming downfall.
Why am I not mentioning Osama bin Laden? He is still a symbolic leader. Dead or alive he will always carry some level of stigma. However currently I believe him to be irrelevent in the current operations. With his age and possible injuries combined with his liver disease he is probably not in the command structure anymore.
So what is the future? Splinter groups like we saw in Iraq. Will it be easy? No. Will it be quick? No. Will we win? Yes.
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