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Thursday, December 31, 2009

The Races Continue to 2010

As the new year enters into our lives at the speed of time one thing from last year to this year has not changed: the approaching election of our next governor. So, as of 52 minutes ago the money raising period of the last quarter has ended. The totals will probably be reported today if not outright bragged about.

Looking at my email inbox the candidates were disparate as an entity of politics for the fundraisers that will set the tone of their campaigns starting out in this new year with, depending on the current totals, new possibilities. If Rosa Scarcelli managed to pull an upset against two or three of her competitors it might be a sign that she is a very probable dark horse in the running. As for the other Democrats there are the obvious favorites and the obvious failures. Nothing really interesting going on.

Now Republicans, since they would upset much of Augusta upon election, pose the real interesting examination. Can they really return to the Blaine House? Should Bruce Poliquin raise less than double his next opponent a backlash to his initial campaign victories might be a sign of either over-extending himself or expanding too slowly. Should he raise better than double the next candidate he is simply running a very efficient campaign which will have a solid lead going into the primaries. However if Matt Jacobson falls behind Les Otten who is currently relying on an advertising gamble it could be a harbinger of dark clouds to come. As for the Waterville "Maverick" and the current state House Representative one can look at the success of one experienced politician to the failings of another and easily conclude one is clearly suited for Governor and the other, while popular, incompetent.

As for independents for any of them to have a chance at success in the next quarter they need to pull a strong and unexpected fund raising report matching at least a third place fund raiser of the two major parties. As for Lynne Williams, she accepted an interview and then never held her end of the bargain so as far as I'm concerned she can -

Anyhow, Happy New Year and the analysis of the political parties fund raising shall come in the following order upon sufficient data being available:
Democrats
Republicans
Green Independent Party and the Unaffiliated

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